Why Arsenal Can Beat Bayern And Progress Tonight

 

So tonight is the big one. After losing 2-0 at home against the reigning European Champions, we face a the though prospect of going to the Allianz Arena needing to score at least 2 goals to stay in the tie.

Impossible? No, but there’s no doubt the odds are heavily stacked against us.

We won 2-0 there last season and Bayern went on to progress on the away goals rule. We scored an early goal, they missed a few chances and things got nervy at the end when Koscielny scored with 5 minutes to go. We couldn’t nick that vital third goal but we showed that we’re no pushovers in Europe.

In our last 5 visits to Germany, we’ve won 3 games and drawn 2 which is an excellent record. It shows how resilient we can be and that when it matters, we can get a result.

I would be much more confident if we had our first choice back four, but Gibbs is injured. A defensive line of Sagna, Koscielny, Mertesacker and Gibbs is one of the best in Europe in my opinion. The four of them defend so well as unit and regular readers will know that I don’t rate Monreal, since he featured in the heavy defeats to Manchester City and Liverpool. And for me, he was also one of the major reasons we conceded the two goals against Bayern in the first leg.

Fortunately or unfortunately, Monreal is also injured meaning that our options are to put Thomas Vermaelen at left back, or to move Sagna to that position and play Carl Jenkinson at right back. Vermaelen has only just come back from injury so could be a risk and people forget that Jenkinson played in the Bayern game last season. What will Arsene do? I suspect he will play Vermaelen even though I think it’s a risk.

Mikel Arteta and Mathieu Flamini are certain to anchor the midfield with a bit of fight and organisation and further up the field Mesut Ozil, Santi Cazorla and Olivier Giroud are nailed on to start. So the last midfield position is between Tomas Rosicky and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, and I have a feeling he might start with the Czech. He’s played in Germany before and sets the tempo in the big games, as well as being able to track back and throw his weight around in midfield.

Obviously, tonight hinges on the first goal. Like at Dortmund, we had to withstand a lot of pressure before nicking a goal at the other end. If we can keep a clean sheet anything is possible but like tonight, if Dortmund scored first you just know that would have opened the floodgates.

If we can keep it tight, then Bayern will feel the pressure and we can slowly edge our way into the game. But if they score early then our heads will drop and it will be one long, tough evening indeed.

In a way, if Bayern did score it wouln’t make a huge different in terms of an aggregate score as 3 goals would see us through. But obviously that is something we need to avoid.

They say you need some luck on nights like these and tonight is no different. If the Gods of fate are playing fairly then we are definitely due some luck in the Champions League. One top of the harsh decision to send of Szczesny in the first leg, we also had a petty sending off at Barcelona (Robin van Persie) and another in the Champions League Final (Jens Lehmann) so we’re due some good luck.

Perhaps Bayern will have their goalkeeper sent off and some of their defenders will score a couple of unfortunate own goals. But maybe that’s asking a little too much.

As long as Arsenal put in a determined, focused performance and give it everything they have, then that’s all you can ask for. And if we do manage to surprise everyone and progress, then that’s a bonus.

You can say many things about Arsene Wenger but one thing I will say is that no matter which team we face, I believe that Arsenal can always win. I have never gone to watch Arsenal thinking they had no chance of winning that game. Because of the style of play Arsene adopts, I always think we can score goals.

So tonight we’re going to need a bit of faith and a bit of luck.

#COYG

[Online Poll] Would You Be Happy With Winning The FA Cup This Season? Vote Here!

 

As Wigan pulled off another shock in the FA Cup, Arsenal face the prospect of playing the Latics at Wembley in the semi-final and then if they progress face a final against Sheffield United or Hull City Tigers.

And that situation makes Arsenal the firm favourites to win the competition, both with the experts and the bookies.

But obviously, it’s not that black and white.

Wigan have been awesome in the FA Cup over the last couple of seasons – beating Manchester City in last years FA Cup final and then beating the same team in their own back yard this season. This is a side that really is a giant killer and more worryingly, they know how to play against the top sides.

Their place in the FA Cup semi-finals is no fluke, so Arsenal will have to be very wary of the threat they can give us.

And don’t forget, in the cups we have lost to poorer teams than Wigan. We’ve lost to Bradford City, Blackburn Rovers and of course the 2011 final to Birmingham City. So unless we’re at 110% Wigan will take advantage.

But would you be happy if Arsenal won the FA Cup? Sounds like a stupid question, but there are some fans that think we should be winning more this season. Anyway, cast your vote below and leave your thoughts in the comments section:

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Great Result For Arsenal, But Wigan Should Not Be Underestimated

 

Well I didn’t expect that to happen!

I was out today but saw Wigan were 1-0 up at half time against Manchester City in the FA Cup. Sunderland were in the same situation last week in the Capital One Cup Final and we all know how they turned out – so I expected a similar turnaround in the second half.

But to my surprise, I got home and it was 60 minutes and it was 2-0!

They say the FA Cup is the stuff of dreams but  with half an hour left, you still expected Manchester City to comeback as they attacked and attacked time and time again. Samir Nasri scored with 15 minutes left to play and that setup a tense 20 minutes. Wigan defended valiantly and I even tweeted that this is probably the most important 20 minutes in Arsenal’s season.

And Wigan held on to setup a FA Cup Semi Final at Wembley against Arsenal.

It was unbelievable stuff from Wigan and after beating Manchester City in the final last season, and now beating Manchester City at their own home Arsenal should be very wary of Wigan.

They may be playing in the Championship but don’t make any bones about it, they will give us one hell of a game and they have previous for causing upsets. Arsenal will need to be at 110% if they want to book their place in the final – anything less and Wigan will be there to take advantage.

With Hull City Tigers, Sheffield United and Wigan Athletic remaining in the FA Cup, Arsene Wenger finds himself in a situation where it is now expected that we end our 8 year trophy drought. Will Arsenal fans be disappointed if we win the FA Cup this season? I for one won’t be.

We have shown we can put in a real performance this season, but also shown we can be pedestrian and try and stroll through games. Wigan Athletic deserve our complete respect and they have shown time and time again that they are the ultimate giant killers.

We meet Wigan Athletic on the weekend of the 12th of April, and Arsene must make sure that his troops are ready for the battle that awaits.

Olivier Giroud Is The Main Reason We’ve Blown The Title

 

As Arsenal’s title challenge falls by the wayside, ever Arsenal fan is wondering why did come so close but just fade at the vital time? We were 5 points clear at the top at one stage of the season, but now we’re 4 points behind Chelsea, a team without a decent striker and a side which hasn’t been firing on all cylinders.

The fact is our performances have dried up, but more importantly so have the goals.

Our defence is still solid (unless Monreal has to replace Gibbs that is) so the biggest issue is upfront. We should have bought a decent (not even world class) striker in the window if we wanted to realistically fight for the title, but we didn’t and here we are.

We have Mesut Ozil, the assist master of European football playing as if he’s been castrated. What’s the point of a player who makes so many chances for Olivier Giroud to miss them all? Ozil is used to playing with a warrior in Cristiano Ronaldo, a player who is deadly in front of goal and converts his chances. Giroud however, actually misses more than he scores.

It’s not all Giroud’s fault of course. Arsene Wenger has been extremely stubborn and decided not to buy a striker. He had a chance in January and so many chances in the summer. But he dithered and failed to even bring in some decent backup, resorting to Nicklas Bendtner who almost left the club.

There’s a link on Arseblog today to a video called “Aaron Ramsey – The Complete Footballer” and it is definitely worth watching. Not just to see how important the young Welshman is to the team, but also to see the number of chances he created. The most damning part of the video is the number of chances Olivier Giroud missed – most other strikers in the league (even Fernando Torres) would have buried them. You forget as the season goes on how many vital chances he actually spurned, but watch the video and you’ll see that his lack of quality has cost the team dearly.

Olivier Giroud has strengths but finishing is not one of them. He currently has 16 goals for Arsenal in all competitions but know that if Suarez was in an Arsenal shirt this season, he would have at least 30 goals this season. And how much healthier would our position be in the league then?

This season is already over for us in the league, and Arsene has to get his priorities in order and invest in a top class striker this summer, otherwise it will be the same old story for a 10th consecutive season.

8 Big Reasons Why Arsenal Have Blown The Premier League Title

 

Well it was a nice ride while it lasted, but Arsenal’s title challenge is well and truly over. If you looked at the table, you would see there is still a mathematical chance of winning the Premier League but all Arsenal fans know that with the defeat to Stoke and the killer fixtures coming up in March alone, are title aspirations are down the drain.

If you looked at some of the interviews from Arsenal supporters after the Stoke City game from Arsenal Fan TV, you will see how frustrated they are, and that sums up the core supporters, the fans who pay hard earned money to watch Arsenal. They travel up and down the country, see their team week in and week out and they know what they are talking about. And if you watch those interviews, the vast majority say the title challenge is gone for another season.

Here are a list of 10 reasons why Arsenal have blown any chance of winning the league:

1. Not Signing A New Striker

This is not a new problem, and one we’ve had since the start of last summer. Olivier Giroud is our only real option up front as Nicklas Bendtner is a poor replacement and Yaya Sanogo is young, raw and been injured for a lot of the season. We were crying out for a top class striker in the summer but failed in bids to sign Luis Suarez and Gonzalo Higuain, and were linked to players such as Stevan Jovetic, who ended up going to Manchester City.

Luis Suarez and Gonzalo Higuain are world class strikers and really would have given our title challenge a real push. Look at Liverpool – Sturridge and Suarez have score more goals alone than most of the teams in Europe this season, never mind the Premier League. I’ve said all along that if we managed to sign Suarez, the title would be in the bag. We’d be a good 5/6 points clear at this moment in time.

Hindsight is a wonderful thing and the signing of Ozil lifted the club and he did give us that extra bit of class which sent us top of the league for most of the season. But his form has dipped and along with it our form as a club overall. Did I know much about Ozil before he joined Arsenal? Not really but I have been surprised at his attitude and lack of effort at times.

The stupid thing is (even though we now know there was a clause in Suarez’s contract) that Arsenal made a massive mess of the Suarez situation. If we didn’t offer that stupid £40 million and 1 pence nonsense and actually offered £40 million then with Suarez wanting to leave, Liverpool would have surely started negotiations. Then we probably could have got him for around £50 million in the end. The way Arsenal handled the Suarez saga was shambolic and would you have paid an extra £7 million for a player of Suarez’s quality? Of course you would have.

With Suarez in an Arsenal shirt, we’d be top of the league by a good few points.

2. Not Replacing Theo Walcott

We’ve known for a long time before the January Transfer window that we would be without Theo for the rest of the season. He had already missed a lot of games since September and even then we saw how much his pace and directness was missed in the team – during that period when Theo was first out, we were grinding out results because we had no outlet and games were far too compact in the middle of the park. So when Theo suffered that terrible injury against Tottenham, one of the first things to do was to make sure he was replaced.

Now I realise that football transfers aren’t like computer games where you can just buy someone immediately but surely something should have been in place to cope with his absence? Even if we didn’t bring someone new in, then surely it was time to give Serge Gnabry or Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain more of a run in the first team? We played the same midfield which was full of playmakers but no-one with any pace to run in behind – which nullifies any use for Giroud up top. Too many times this season (and again against Stoke) Giroud was far too isolated and had no runners to play off.

Playing like that has been affecting our performances, hence only 2 wins from 6 league games.

3. We Have No Passion or Fight (Anymore)

If you watch the reactions of the Arsenal fans after the Stoke game, you will see that the biggest complain is that the players “rolled over”, they “lacked any fight” and “Stoke wanted it more”.

Going into the game against Stoke, we were the team fighting for something. We were the side fighting to stay in the Premier League race. But like too many times recently, we played as if we didn’t care and we had given up. Stoke did want it more and got what they deserved. You can cry about the penalty decision, but only weeks before Liverpool were denied a stone wall penalty at The Emirates. Decisions like that swing in roundabouts.

We started the game slowly, were too busy moaning at the referee and showed no fight – making the decision to drop Flamini an even stranger one.

Why don’t the players care anymore? The attitude of the players comes from one man and that is Arsene Wenger. I love Arsene, and appreciate what he’s done for the club but is his time up? I’ve never once considered giving him the boot but maybe his time has come. If you can’t motivate a team to put in any effort against Stoke (a team we all hate) then what hope have you got? There are only a handful of clubs we hate more than Stoke so the players should have been giving 110% to beat those scumbags.

But no, we couldn’t be arsed.

4. Our Approach Against The Top Sides

Our record against teams such as Liverpool, Chelsea, Manchester United, Manchester City, Everton and Tottenham is nothing short of disgraceful. It’s not the worst out of the Top Seven but it’s not far off.

We beat Liverpool and Tottenham earlier in the season which was great, but it’s been downhill from there. We lost 6-3 at Manchester City, 5-1 against Liverpool, couldn’t even beat the worst Manchester United team in 20 years and conceded a late equaliser against Everton at The Emirates. We still have to play Chelsea, Manchester City, Tottenham and Everton over the next 5 weeks.

I don’t know what Arsene has been thinking coming into these games, but at worst he’s been tactically inept and at best he’s been naive.

Why, when you’ve been leading at the top of the table would you setup your team to be so open and win all three points? At Manchester City, we were the league leaders so why didn’t we do what we did against Dortmund and keep the game tight and try to catch them on the break. A win wasn’t vital and it would have been a big point. And the same against Liverpool. Chelsea sit at the top of the league because they have a manager who is switched on and sees the bigger picture. While it’s honourable to try and win every game like Arsene does with attacking football, sometimes that’s just not possible and you need a manager who can see that. We hear about teams “parking the bus” and we should have done against Manchester City and Liverpool. We’d be better off points-wise and would have knocked points off our nearest rivals.

Instead, we’ve given them massive confidence boosts and showcased our weaknesses to the world.

5. Not Coping With The Loss of Aaron Ramsey

In the early parts of the season Aaron Ramsey was simply sensational and almost single-handedly winning games for Arsenal. Since he’s been out, we’ve coped to an extent but it’s been found out that we can’t cope without his drive, commitment and passion. They say you can paper over the cracks for 3 or 4 games at a time when your best player is missing after that it’s a struggle.

Again, Arsene knew Ramsey would be out for a while so why didn’t he change the way we play? Midfield is an area we are well catered for and not to cope with Ramsey’s absence is one of the biggest worries. We have a star-studded midfield yet without Ramsey we collapse. There’s no drive, passion, dedication and will to win. And all because we’re missing one player. People throw the accusation that certain clubs are just “one man teams” but in our case, there seems to be an element of truth.

We don’t know when Ramsey is going to be back but the fact is we can’t rely on that anyway – he will need a good few weeks to get his form back and by that time the season will almost be over.

6. Not Making Per Mertesacker Captain

With Thomas Vermaelen on the bench after the excellent form of Laurent Koscielny and Per Mertesacker, the captaincy should have been reviewed. Mikel Arteta is a very good deputy captain but the man who drives the team forward and has the most fight is The Big F… German.

If anyone epitomises the ethos of the club then it’s Per Mertesacker. Along with that he is one of the first names on the team sheet so why not make him captain? If it was even possible, it could have raised his game even more and given him more responsibility on the pitch. When the BFG shouts, you listen and there are a lot of players in the team at the moment who need a good bollocking during the game. Mikel Arteta isn’t that way inclined and we all know the only other player who speaks his mind on the pitch is Mathieu Flamini.

7. We Didn’t Believe We Could Win The League

How many times over the last few years have we scored last minute goals? Until this season, scoring in the last minute was almost a regular occurrence. But now, it rarely ever happens.

That’s because in previous seasons, we always had that belief we could score, no matter how long of the game was left. We would keep going and always try to score until the very last second. This season, that belief has just disappearered.

Maybe that’s because we’ve never really been in a title race before so the players don’t know how to handle it, or maybe it’s because the manager has failed to instill that belief in the team, but for whatever reason we just don’t believe – and it shows on the pitch.

8. Getting Rid of Andre Santos…

Once the big, cuddly Brazilian left us for pastures new, he was replaced by Nacho Monreal. And it might be stretching it a bit saying this but he is almost as useless as Andre Santos when it comes to defending. It’s no coincidence that Arsenal lost 6-3 to Manchester City and 5-1 to Liverpool (our biggest defeats of the season) when Nacho Monreal was playing. Going forward he is okay, but his defending is a completely different story.

People say the turning point against Bayern Munich was the sending off of Szczesny when he brought down Robben, but it was in fact about 5 minutes before when Kieran Gibbs hobbled off injured and Nacho Monreal came on. At the time, I tweeted that I would have preferred Bacary Sagna to move to left back and bring on Carl Jenkinson instead. Arsene didn’t and within 5 minutes of being on the pitch he let Robben go and he won the penalty.

Even after that he struggled (and wasn’t really helped by Ozil tracking back) and both of Bayern’s goals came from situations on the left hand side.

The bottom line is that not signing a decent left back replacement for Gibbs has cost us valuable points and games this season (I was joking about keeping Santos).